XRP has spent the past several sessions going almost nowhere, but the increasingly narrow trading range may be making the next move more important. The token is hovering around $1.52, with buyers repeatedly defending the $1.45 area while sellers continue appearing between roughly $1.52 and $1.55. That leaves XRP compressed inside one of its clearest short-term decision zones in months. Derivatives positioning remains relatively restrained, meaning the market is not yet heavily leveraged in either direction. Bulls defend $1.45 but have not beaten $1.55 The immediate chart is unusually clean. XRP is trading near $1.52, with a descending trendline capping price around $1.52 to $1.53 and buyers defending support near $1.45. XRP also remained above its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages, keeping the broader recovery structure intact. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez told followers he was “waiting for an hourly close above $1.54 to confirm the breakout.” Martinez sees XRP forming a symmetrical triangle and said confirmation above that level could trigger roughly a 10% advance towards $1.70. That makes $1.54 to $1.55 more than ordinary resistance. It is the point where a stagnant range could become a momentum trade. Above it, $1.63 becomes the first technical hurdle before the heavier $1.65 to $1.70 supply zone comes back into focus. Quiet derivatives positioning could make the break faster The recovery has not been accompanied by an equally aggressive rebuilding of leverage. Binance XRP open interest stood at 516.6 million, up from 2026 lows around 350 million to 400 million but still well below the more than 1.3 billion seen around the start of October 2025. R3N described the current market as “less leveraged, more cautious” than a year earlier. That matters because subdued positioning leaves room for traders to react after price starts moving. If XRP clears $1.55, momentum traders can enter, open interest can expand and short sellers may be forced to cover. The same mechanism works in reverse if $1.45 fails and leveraged longs start exiting. Low leverage does not guarantee an explosive move. It simply means the market is not crowded enough to suggest the next break has already been fully anticipated. A breakout can run quickly but $1.70 remains a wall CrediBULL Crypto has offered the most aggressive bullish view, saying XRP could produce “one of the greatest runs” of the current cycle. The near-term setup is less dramatic . Even if XRP clears $1.54 to $1.55, previous selling remains around $1.65 to $1.70, where holders who bought earlier peaks may use renewed strength to exit. That supply could slow any initial breakout. The downside trigger is equally clear, as Crypto.news identifies $1.45 as the main short-term support, with the 50-day EMA around $1.38 becoming the next technical reference if that floor breaks. That creates a simple framework. Above $1.55, XRP can test whether sellers around $1.70 are weakening. Below $1.45, the recent consolidation starts looking more like a failed recovery. The post XRP is trapped between $1.45 and $1.55: why the next break could get violent appeared first on Invezz
