Bitcoin price has reclaimed the $81,000 level as buyers test a key resistance area that has capped the latest recovery. Analysts now focus on whether BTC can hold this zone as support, with weekly momentum, miner behavior, and realized profit data shaping the next phase. Bitcoin Price Tests the Next Breakout Zone Bitcoin price briefly moved above $81,000 after spending several sessions above the 100-day moving average near $72,000. The reclaim strengthened the short-term structure and kept BTC inside an ascending recovery channel. Market data showed that Bitcoin continued to trade near the upper boundary of its recent supply zone. A daily close above $80,000 remains important, as that level has acted as the main ceiling during the recovery. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was up 5% in the past 7 days. Its 24-hour trading volume rose 22% to $45.67 billion, while market cap stood at $1.61 trillion. The next technical barrier sits near the 200-day moving average, around $83,000 to $85,000. A move above that area could open the path toward $89,000, then $94,000, according to chart levels shared by analysts. However, BTC still needs confirmation. A breakout that fails to hold above $81,000 could return focus to the $75,000 and $73,000 demand areas. The $72,000 100-day moving average remains a key support level on any pullback. Bitcoin Bullish MACD Crossover Draws Attention Ali Charts noted that Bitcoin’s weekly MACD flashed a bullish crossover on April 13. Since then, BTC has already gained about 15%, showing renewed momentum after a long recovery phase. The analyst compared the current setup with previous weekly crossovers. The October 23, 2023 crossover preceded a 147% rally, while the October 14, 2024, signal came before a 75% move. Another crossover on May 5, 2025, led to a 35% rally. BTCUSD Weekly Chart | Source: X Traders are watching the signal as BTC approaches the 200-day simple moving average near $83,000. That level now stands as a major technical hurdle. A daily close above the 200SMA could shift attention toward $89,000. From there, the $94,000 area may act as the next resistance before any broader test of the $100,000 zone. Miner Data Supports the Recovery Setup On-chain data also shows a constructive backdrop. Bitcoin’s Miners’ Position Index dropped below minus 1.0 during the February lows near $60,000, a level linked with miner accumulation in earlier cycles. That reading suggested miners were not heavily selling during the weakest phase of the market. Instead, they appeared to hold coins while Bitcoin formed its recovery base. The MPI has since improved but remains below zero. This shows that miner distribution is still limited compared with periods near market peaks. Lower miner selling may reduce one source of overhead pressure. However, traders are monitoring whether the MPI moves above 0.5 as BTC climbs. A sustained move higher could indicate stronger miner selling into rising prices. Realized Profits Show Supply Is Being Absorbed Santiment data showed Bitcoin net realized profits reaching $207.56 million as BTC moved above $80,000. The reading marked the highest level in the current cycle, as holders locked in gains near a major round-number level. Bitcoin Net Realized Profits | Source: Santiment Profit-taking during a price rise can show strong demand when buyers absorb the supply. In this case, Bitcoin pushed above $80,000 while some holders sold coins bought at lower levels. A weekly BTC price close above $81,000, followed by a firm retest, could support a move toward $86,000 to $89,000 and $100,000 next.
